Does the Audit Going Concern Opinion Really Matter?  The Case of Egypt.

Authors

  • Haitham Ramadan Shehata Damanhur University. Author
  • Abdelwahab N. Ali Alexandria University image/svg+xml Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.56830/IJAMS04202406

Keywords:

Going Concern Opinion, Financial Health, Audit Quality, Egypt

Abstract

 The auditor's going concern opinion (GCO) is an opinion given by an auditor about a firm’s financial health. This opinion serves as an early warning system for the financial distress of client’s firm. The current research aimed to study the impact of the auditor's going concern opinion (GCO) on stock prices in the Egyptian business environment. On a sample of 132 firms listed on the Egyptian Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2022 with a total of 759 firm-year-observations. In addition to the possible effect of two moderating variables associated with the main independent variables. Which is the expectation of GCO and perceived audit quality (AQ). We added the independent and moderating variables to the modified Ohlsen regression model to test for the value relevance of the GCO, and the effects of the moderating variables on the mentioned above relation. We found no evidence of a significant impact of the auditor's GCO on the stock prices of companies listed on the Egyptian Stock Exchange, regardless of whether this opinion is expected or not. On the other hand, for the effect of perceived audit quality, we found a significant negative effect of GCO on stock prices for companies being audited by big 4 audit firms, which could be interpreted because of the reputation effect for such firms.  

References

Abdollahi, A., Pitenoei, Y. R., & Gerayli, M. S. (2020). Auditor's report, auditor's size and value relevance of accounting information. Journal of Applied Accounting Research. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JAAR-11-2019-0153

Al-Sabbagh, A. (2021). The effect Value Relevance of interim financial information on the cost of financing. Alexandria Journal for Accounting Research, Alexandria University.5(3), 457-503. Doi: 10.21608/ALJALEXU.2021.206894. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21608/aljalexu.2021.206894

Averio, T. (2020). The analysis of influencing factors on the going concern audit opinion–a study in manufacturing firms in Indonesia. Asian Journal of Accounting Research, 6(2), 152-164. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AJAR-09-2020-0078

Azizah, R., & Anisykurlillah, I. (2014). The Effect of Company Size, Debt Default, and Financial Condition of the Company Against Audit Opinion. Accounting Analysis Journal. 3(4), 533–542.

Badu, B., & Appiah, K. O. (2018). Value relevance of accounting information: an emerging country perspective. Journal of Accounting & Organizational Change. 14(4), 473-491. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JAOC-07-2017-0064

Bar-Hava, K., & Katz, R. (20116). The Asymmetric Market Reaction of Stockholders and Bondholders to the Implementation of Early-Warnings Pre Going Concern Opinion. Available at www.ssrn.com.

Berglund, N. R., Eshleman, J. D., & Guo, P. (2018). Auditor size and going concern reporting. Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory, 37(2), 1-25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/ajpt-51786

Blay, A. D., & Geiger, M. A. (2001). Market expectations for first-time going-concern recipients. Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 16(3), 209-226. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0148558X0101600304

Brunelli, S., Carlino, C., Castellano, R., & Giosi, A. (2021). Going concern modifications and related disclosures in the Italian stock market: do regulatory improvements help investors in capturing financial distress? Journal of Management and Governance, 25(2), 433-473. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10997-020-09537-7

Carson, E., Fargher, N. L., Geiger, M. A., Lennox, C. S., Raghunandan, K., & Willekens, M. (2013). Audit reporting for going-concern uncertainty: A research synthesis. Auditing. A Journal of Practice & Theory, 32(Supplement 1), 353-384. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/ajpt-50324

Cenciarelli, V. G., Greco, G., & Allegrini, M. (2018). External audit and bankruptcy prediction. Journal of Management and Governance, 22(4), 863-890. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10997-018-9406-z

Chen, K. C., & Church, B. K. (1996). Going concern opinions and the market's reaction to bankruptcy filings. Accounting Review, 117-128.

Craswell, A. (1985). Studies of the information content of qualified audit reports. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 12, 93-115. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.14685957.1985.tb00081.x. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.1985.tb00081.x

Czerney, K., Schmidt, J. J., & Thompson, A. M. (2019). Do investors respond to explanatory language included in unqualified audit reports? . Contemporary Accounting Research, 36(1), 198-229. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12425

Đorđević, M., & Đukić, T. (2021). Auditors’ responsibility in assessing going concern assumption affected by Covid-19. Economic Themes, 59(1), 77-93. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ethemes-2021-0005

Eshleman, J. D., & Guo, P. (2014). Do Big 4 auditors provide higher audit quality after controlling for the endogenous choice of auditor? . Auditing:A journal of practice & theory, 33(4), 197-219. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/ajpt-50792

Ethridge, J. R., & Marsh, T. (2010). User Information Risk: How It Improves Audit Quality. Journal of Business & Economics Research, 8(2). DOI: https://doi.org/10.19030/jber.v8i2.671

Flees, R. B., & Mouselli, S. (2022). The impact of qualified audit opinion on stock returns: an empirical study at Amman stock exchange. Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting.

Francis, J. (2011). A Framework for Understanding and Researching Audit Quality. Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory, Vol. 30 No. 2, pp 125-152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/ajpt-50006

Geiger, M. A., & Rama, D. V. (2006). Audit firm size and going‐concern reporting accuracy. Accounting horizons, 20(1), 1-17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/acch.2006.20.1.1

Geiger, M. A.; Gold, A.; Wallage, P. (2019). Auditor reporting for going-concern uncertainty: research findings and implications for practitioners. Available at: foundationforauditingresearch.org.

Geiger, M. A.; Kumas, A. (2018). Anticipation and reaction to going‐concern modified audit opinions by sophisticated investors. International Journal of Auditing, 22(3), 522-535. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ijau.12135

Guo, Y., Delaney, D., & Ahmed, A. (2020). Is an Auditor's Propensity to Issue Going Concern Opinions a Valid Measure of Audit Quality? Australian Accounting Review. Vol. 30 Issue. 2, pp 144-153. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/auar.12300

Gutierrez, E., Krupa, J., Minutti-Meza, M., & Vulcheva, M. (2020). Do going concern opinions provide incremental information to predict corporate defaults? Review of Accounting Studies, 25(4), 1344-1381. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-020-09544-x

Hapsoro, D., & Suryanto, T. (2017). Consequences of going concern opinion for financial reports of business firms and capital markets with auditor reputation as a moderation variable: an experimental study. Available at https://ideas.repec.org/. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/637

Hsieh, Y.-M., Chi, D.-J., & Lee, K.-H. (2015). The impact of going concern opinions on stock prices: A garch model application. ICIC Express Letters. 9, 1227-1234.

Kandemir, H. K. (2013). The EU law on auditing and the role of auditors in the global financial crisis of 2008. International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, 10(3), 213-233. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/jdg.2013.6

Lee, H. L., & Lee, H. (2013). Do Big 4 audit firms improve the value relevance of earnings and equity? Managerial Auditing Journal, 28(7), 628-646. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/MAJ-07-2012-0728

Lennox, C. S., Schmidt, J. J., & Thompson, A. M. (2022). Why are expanded audit reports not informative to investors? Evidence from the United Kingdom. Review of Accounting Studies, 1-36. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-021-09650-4

Mashabet, N. (2020). The effect of audit quality on the integrity of the auditor's opinion on going concern. An empirical Study on listed industrial companies in Egypt.

Alexandria Journal for Accounting Research, Alexandria University.4(2), 230-289. Doi: 10.21608/aljalexu.2020.105957. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21608/aljalexu.2020.105957

Mohammad, A. (2021). The impact of audit fees and managerial overconfidence on the auditor's opinion accuracy regarding going concern-Evidence from Egypt. Accounting

Thought Journal: Ain Shams University .25(1), 476-547. Doi:

10.21608/ATASU.2021.160035. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21608/atasu.2021.160035

Myers, L. A., Schmidt, J., & Wilkins, M. (2014). An investigation of recent changes in going concern reporting decisions among Big N and non-Big N auditors. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 43(1), 155-172. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-013-0368-6

Ogneva, M., & Subramanyam, K. (2007). Does the Stock Market Underreact to Going Concern Opinions? Evidence from the U.S. and Australia. Journal of Accounting and Economics. 43, 439-452. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2006.12.004

Ohlson, J. A. (1995). "Earnings, book values, and dividends in equity valuation.". Contemporary accounting research 11.2, 661-687. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1911-3846.1995.tb00461.x

O'Reilly, D. M. (2010). Do investors perceive the going‐concern opinion as useful for pricing stocks? Managerial Auditing Journal. 25(1), 4-16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/02686901011007270

Panggabean, R. R., & Wintari, T. (2020). Audit Partner Gender, Audit Quality, Audit Report, Net Income, Book Value of Equity and Value Relevance. Available at www.ssrn.com.

Puspaningsih, A., & Analia, A. P. (2020). The Effect of Debt Default, Opinion Shopping, Audit Tenure and Company's Financial Conditions on Going-concern Audit Opinions. Review of Integrative Business and Economics Research. 9, 115-127.

Ruiz-Barbadillo, E., Guiral, A., & Choy, H. L. (2010). The value relevance of the qualified going concern opinion. Available at SSRN.com. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1600642

Ruiz-Barbadillo, E.; Guiral, A. (2019). The value relevance of expected vs. unexpected going concern opinions. Investment Management & Financial Innovations, 16(2), 47. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.16(2).2019.05

Ryu, T. G., & Roh, C. Y. (2007). The Auditor's Going-Concern Opinion Decision.

International Journal of Business & Economics, 6(2).

Simamora, R. A., & Hendarjatno, H. (2019). The effects of audit client tenure, audit lag, opinion shopping, liquidity ratio, and leverage to the going concern audit opinion. Asian Journal of Accounting Research, 4(1), 145-156. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AJAR-05-2019-0038

Solikha, E. M., & Mardijuwono, A. W. (2020). The Relationship between Audit Quality, Earnings and Equity Book Value Relevance. International Journal of Innovation, Creativity and Change, 13(4), 610-625.

Taffler, R. J., Lu, J., & Kausar, A. (2004). In denial? Stock market underreaction to goingconcern audit report disclosures. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 38, 263-296. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2004.09.004

Velte, P. (2022). The impact of external auditors on firms’ financial restatements: a review of archival studies and implications for future research. Management Review Quarterly, 1-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11301-022-00264-x

Wijaya, A. L. (2020). The effect of audit quality on firm value: A case in Indonesian manufacturing Firm. Available at: www.um.edu.mt. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32602/jafas.2020.001

Xu, Y., Carson, E., Fargher, N., & Jiang, L. (2013). Responses by Australian auditors to the global financial crisis. Accounting & Finance, 53(1), 301-338. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-629X.2011.00459.x

Downloads

Published

2026-03-01

Issue

Section

Articles